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Alwasel, A, Abdel-Rahman, E M, Haas, C T and Lee, S (2017) Experience, Productivity, and Musculoskeletal Injury among Masonry Workers. Journal of Construction Engineering and Management, 143(06).

Borges, W F and Mário, P d C (2017) Five Project-Duration Control Methods in Time Units: Case Study of a Linearly Distributed Planned Value. Journal of Construction Engineering and Management, 143(06).

Chang, R, Zuo, J, Soebarto, V, Zhao, Z, Zillante, G and Gan, X (2017) Discovering the Transition Pathways toward Sustainability for Construction Enterprises: Importance-Performance Analysis. Journal of Construction Engineering and Management, 143(06).

Dinca, M S, Barbuta-Misu, N, Madaleno, M, Dinca, G and Deari, F (2017) Integrated Analysis of EU Construction Companies’ Financial Performances. Journal of Construction Engineering and Management, 143(06).

Kwon, N, Park, M, Lee, H, Ahn, J and Kim, S (2017) Construction Noise Prediction Model Based on Case-Based Reasoning in the Preconstruction Phase. Journal of Construction Engineering and Management, 143(06).

Lee, D, Lee, S and Kim, S (2017) Composite Phase-Change Material Mold for Cost-Effective Production of Free-Form Concrete Panels. Journal of Construction Engineering and Management, 143(06).

Li, R and Roberti, R (2017) Optimal Scheduling of Railway Track Possessions in Large-Scale Projects with Multiple Construction Works. Journal of Construction Engineering and Management, 143(06).

Liu, H, Jazayeri, E and Dadi, G B (2017) Establishing the Influence of Owner Practices on Construction Safety in an Operational Excellence Model. Journal of Construction Engineering and Management, 143(06).

Liu, J, Xie, Q, Xia, B and Bridge, A J (2017) Impact of Design Risk on the Performance of Design-Build Projects. Journal of Construction Engineering and Management, 143(06).

Luo, X, Li, H, Dai, F, Cao, D, Yang, X and Guo, H (2017) Hierarchical Bayesian Model of Worker Response to Proximity Warnings of Construction Safety Hazards: Toward Constant Review of Safety Risk Control Measures. Journal of Construction Engineering and Management, 143(06).

Marrana, T C, Silvestre, J D, de Brito, J and Gomes, R (2017) Lifecycle Cost Analysis of Flat Roofs of Buildings. Journal of Construction Engineering and Management, 143(06).

Mohseni, H, Setunge, S, Zhang, G and Wakefield, R (2017) Markov Process for Deterioration Modeling and Asset Management of Community Buildings. Journal of Construction Engineering and Management, 143(06).

  • Type: Journal Article
  • Keywords: Probabilistic deterioration prediction; Buildings; Markov chain; Monte Carlo; Genetic algorithm; Risk profile; Cost projection;
  • ISBN/ISSN: 0733-9364
  • URL: https://doi.org/10.1061/(ASCE)CO.1943-7862.0001272
  • Abstract:
    The current management process for community buildings in Australia is mainly reactive. Data collected using regular inspections are used for maintenance decision making in the period between consecutive inspections, disregarding the future degradation of the assets and the resultant levels of service. Forecasting future conditions using historic data is difficult because of the uncertainty and stochastic nature of deterioration. A major gap in knowledge is the lack of methods for predicting this highly uncertain degradation process for components of community buildings to support a strategic decision-making process. This paper presents a Markov process–based method for deterioration prediction of building components using condition data collected by the City of Kingston in Australia. Markov transition matrices for building components have been derived using a modified method combining the genetic algorithm with Monte Carlo sampling called direct absolute value difference, which offers superior accuracy. The derived matrices are validated using a new data set collected in 2011. Fourteen transition matrices for building components are proposed. The paper presents a typical decision-making method based on the Markov process.

Pereira, E, Han, S, AbouRizk, S and Hermann, U (2017) Empirical Testing for Use of Safety Related Measures at the Organizational Level to Assess and Control the On-Site Risk Level. Journal of Construction Engineering and Management, 143(06).

Sullivan, J, Asmar, M E, Chalhoub, J and Obeid, H (2017) Two Decades of Performance Comparisons for Design-Build, Construction Manager at Risk, and Design-Bid-Build: Quantitative Analysis of the State of Knowledge on Project Cost, Schedule, and Quality. Journal of Construction Engineering and Management, 143(06).

Teo, P and Love, P E D (2017) Re-Examining the Association between Quality and Safety Performance in Construction: From Heterogeneous to Homogeneous Datasets. Journal of Construction Engineering and Management, 143(06).

Yeh, H, Hsieh, T and Chen, J (2017) Managing Complex Engineering Interfaces of Urban Mass Rapid Transit Projects. Journal of Construction Engineering and Management, 143(06).

Yuan, C, McClure, T, Cai, H and Dunston, P S (2017) Life-Cycle Approach to Collecting, Managing, and Sharing Transportation Infrastructure Asset Data. Journal of Construction Engineering and Management, 143(06).

Zahoor, H, Chan, A P C, Utama, W P, Gao, R and Memon, S A (2017) Determinants of Safety Climate for Building Projects: SEM-Based Cross-Validation Study. Journal of Construction Engineering and Management, 143(06).

Zhao, Z, Tang, C, Zhang, X and Skitmore, M (2017) Agglomeration and Competitive Position of Contractors in the International Construction Sector. Journal of Construction Engineering and Management, 143(06).